Advanced Commodity Trading Techniques by J.D. Hamon

By J.D. Hamon

Famous technical analyst J.D. Hamon finds established innovations and strong new innovations which turn out you could win gigantic in commodities.

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The difficulties in the Eurobond market arising from this period were compounded by the US decision to abolish the Interest Equalization Tax and remove capital controls in early 1974, partly thanks to enormous inflows into the US dollar caused by the huge financial flows associated with the quadrupling of the oil price. It has been said 2 that by the end of 1974 there were only four market-makers left in the Eurobond market: Kidder Peabody, Credit Suisse White Weld, Merrill Lynch and Kredietbank (Luxembourg).

Of the $9,399 billion total at end-1988, direct central government debt comprised $4,023 billion. Government debt was most important to the US, Japanese and Italian bond markets. 1 Total debt of the 18 most actively traded debt markets, by currency (US$ bn equivalent) US$ Japanese yen Deutschmark Italian lira UK sterling French franc Canadian dollar Swedish krona Danish krone Swiss franc Dutch guilder Belgian franc Australian dollar Spanish peseta Norwegian krone ECU Irish punt New Zealand dollar Total 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1,489 607 305 143 181 1,759 649 320 152 171 106 136 62 69 2,074 756 312 175 174 2,370 773 293 186 153 149 68 69 59 47 34 52 21 161 67 2,830 1,070 417 278 207 174 171 88 103 77 3,309 1,473 588 423 227 252 194 117 136 3,717 2,033 783 554 310 334 228 4,085 2,131 730 543 274 371 281 140 100 129 75 66 55 40 46 51 23 17 0 7 5 3,342 60 46 36 50 22 15 1 104 17 110 71 55 48 33 59 24 16 6 3 7 6 5 8 6 3,668 4,129 4,439 8 70 51 60 34 22 10 11 8 5,681 Source: Merrill Lynch, Size of the World Bond Markets, Currency and Bond Market Trends, 11 May 1989.

But overall the outcome was by no means the disaster that had been predicted. In the equities markets - as distinct from the debt markets, where negotiated commissions had been the rule anyway commissions were cut on average by 40-50 per cent and then stabilised around 1979, which in turn boosted trading volume. Between 1974 and 1980, aggregate share trading volume on US securities more than tripled (although it should be borne in mind that the base year, 1974, was depressed). Trading volume was also helped by the introduction of more Early Years: 1963-1979 27 efficient computer systems, notably the Designated Order Turnaround (DOT) system, introduced in 1976.

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